Next week,the racewill narrow considerably with Golden Globe and SAG noms.

So, visibility is key now more than ever.

JOEY:A worse week?Penguin Bloom, for sure.

Awardist

Apple TV+; Warner Bros.;

They’re cleaning up.

Is she slipping, for you?

DAVID:I am not worried there yet.

The Trial of the Chicago 7

NIKO TAVERNISE/NETFLIX

I remain more hopeful for Bakalova, though.

Let that one be a stain on NBR’s legacy.

Who’s their brightest hope right now to go all the way?

THE UNITED STATES VS. BILLIE HOLIDAY

Takashi Seida

(Though in the case ofSpotlight, that did not happen.)

And that’s not all!

It’s nice to see such a deep category.

But, I wonder ifBill MurrayforOn the Rockscan sneak in there as well.

Glenn Close went from a frontrunner to an afterthought, right?

Supporting Actress seems like a wild race, but Youn is holding steady across most precursors so far.

Surprises to come in that category for sure, but from where?

DAVID:The other person I’m watching in Supporting Actress isEllen Burstyn.

I don’t think theHillbilly Elegystar is out of the race just yet.

Chadwick Boseman remains our frontrunner.

Delroy Lindo can only be helped by the precursor success ofDa 5 Bloods.

And you mentioned Riz Ahmed, who (excitingly!)

is everywhere right now, and looks more and more like a safe bet.

Theoretically that leaves one spot.

Is LaKeith Stanfield a sneaky player here?

And if not, who do you have your eye on to surprise?

DAVID:Tom Holland is definitely one to watch at the Globes, and Andra Day another.

Best Actress in a Drama is the race I’m intrigued by overall too.

Will the HFPA lift Zendaya, maybe?

A frequent winner like Kate Winslet?

(She won forSteve Jobs!)

Or, really, who’s more of a Globes pick than an icon like Sophia Loren?

And like you, I’m watching to see ifPromising Young Womancan assert itself here as an across-the-board contender.

I’ve been tracking Emerald Fennell in the director race, and a Globe nod feels possible and major.

Who do you think really needs to pop there?

JOEY:SAG always has outliers.

Sarah Silverman forI Smile Back, anyone?

That was when they were seeing and voting earlier than anyone else.

Now they seem to be in the thick of it, side by side with everyone else.

Oldman absolutely needs to have a good week.

Maria Bakalova as well.

DAVID:I agree with all those.

I’m afraid I can’t engage with you on that one.