EW’s awards experts discuss the 2021 Oscar race as it begins to take shape.

And be sure to check outour early Oscar predictions.

As we head into the thick of the longest awards season ever, what’s your headline?

Hillbilly Elegy

Lacey Terrell/NETFLIX

Cursing all thebad Terminatorswho potentially ruined her chances.

JOEY:Yes, reviews aren’t everything.

What do you make of its standing in the race?

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

David Lee/Netflix

JOEY:I think this one is more bulletproof in terms of reviews.

Of course, this is an unconventional year.

There are some stories worth reading into.

NEVER RARELY SOMETIMES ALWAYS

Courtesy of Focus Features

Of course, there’s a lot of game left to play.

DAVID:All this talk about Netflix movies!

That’s a lot!

JOEY:I very consciously am predicting Netflix to have a leg up this season.

While other studios like Focus, A24, etc.

Plus, the aforementionedMinarijust got a release date.

And dare I ask aboutBoratSubsequent Moviefilm?

Maria Bakalova for Best Supporting Actress?

I doubt it).

They’re hardly predictive, but at their best give a lift to on-the-bubble critical darlings.

Who do you have your eye on for those?

(Kelly Reichardt for her first Oscar nomination, like!)

Critics like to pull people into the conversation in that way sometimes.