Daniel Kaluuya, Rosamund Pike, and more threw a wrench into the status quo ahead of the Oscars.
EW’s awards experts debate who’s up and who’s down after the Golden Globes.
How could a group of 87 international journalists (without a single Black member) possibly predict the Oscars?
Takashi Seida/Paramount Pictures; David Lee/Netflix; Graham Bartholomew/STXfilms
Or even influence them?
Especially because theGolden Globesdo, in fact, have an impact.
EW’s awards expertsDavid CanfieldandJoey Nolfidebate who’s up (Andra Day!)
and who’s down (Mamawperches and swivels) after the chaos of thehistory-making2021 Golden Globes.
That’s the kind of momentum that can only be built by visibility at the Globes.
DAVID:I’m a bit more skeptical.
1 on the service every day until voting wrapped on Tuesday.
That she’s even in the conversation now, though, speaks to that upset’s significance.
That did not happen.
The eventual Academy Award winner is probably, at this stage, anyone’s guess.
If she loses the SAG Award, then I’ll be worried.
And that very realistically could go to Youn.
What do you make of those going as we expected?
JOEY:I think the only smooth-sailing, at this point, is in those two performances.
No one can touch that performance now.
Can backlash against the Globes cementMinarias an Oscar frontrunner?
DAVID:Minari, to me, feels like the one to watch out of the Globes other thanNomadland.
Jury’s still out on that one.
It’s a film everyone seems to love, a huge benefit in Oscars' preferential terms.
So going into SAG it’s the big question mark.
If Youn wins there, say, or if the film manages to snag Ensemble, look out.
There doesn’t appear to be an obvious challenger this go-round.
JOEY:Idodare say it: This is Queen Warren’s year.
), but I think momentum is finally on her side.
Maybe it really isMinari, based on its trajectory.
Or maybe it’s something else entirely!
Not one film has really stepped up yet.
Her Best Director win feels inevitable, deserved, and historic.
And for whatever disappointments come our way the next few months and there will be many!
I can feel happily confident about that.
