ET for the live nominations announcement.

So what this comes down to is taste and precedent.

), and strong audience response since its VOD launch can’t hurt.

Golden Globe movie predictions

Amazon Studios; DOMINIC MILLER/NETFLIX; Focus Features

Same goes forThe Prom, which despite mixed reviews (has that ever stopped the Globes before?)

is the kind of big, over-the-top musical this category was all but made for.

A proven awards juggernaut, can voters resist this filmed adaptation of the Broadway masterpiece?

She’ll sustain that buzz here, as will perennial contenderFrances McDormandfor her critically lauded turn inNomadland.

But theMank-mentum train appears to have stalled, and that’s a lot of Netflix for one category.

And this is whereDaniel Kaluuya’s campaign really begins.

taking precedence when the category narrows.