See our expert Oscar predictions after the longest awards season ever.

So, who will win after the longest awards season in recent memory?

Why, last year’ssurprise Oscar loser,1917!

Awardist Oscar Picks

See EW’s Oscar predictions for the 93rd Academy Awards in all categories, from Viola Davis to ‘Nomadland.'.David Lee/Netflix (2); Warner Bros. Pictures; A24

Which is to say that, yes,Nomadland’s clean precursor sweep doesn’tnecessarilyguarantee a win in this category.

It is broadly beloved, and no challenger has emerged.

Is there passion forPromising Young Woman?

Nomadland

Joshua James Richards/Searchlight Pictures

IsThe Trial of the Chicago 7the obvious populist foil?

Have either of them established themselves as real threats?

This isNomadland’s to lose.

Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

David Lee/Netflix

But Boseman’s triumphant final film performance inMa Rainey’s Black Bottomremains too powerful and appropriate to ignore here.

Expect the Academy to finish off this heartbreaking awards journey with catharsis, not surprise.

And it will for Academy voters, too.

MA RAINEY’S BLACK BOTTOM

David Lee/NETFLIX

Especially afterJudas’ overperformance in the nominations, Kaluuya looks like a lock.

A longshot, but one worth mentioning.

MINARI

Josh Ethan Johnson/A24

JUDAS AND THE BLACK MESSIAH

Glen Wilson/Warner Bros.

May 2021 Oscar Cover- Chloé Zhao

Erik Carter for EW

PROMISING YOUNG WOMAN

Merie Weismiller Wallace / Focus Features