Can Rosamund Pike and Alan Kim break into the race?
to pan out across all 23 categories.
Beyond them, then, who makes it through?

Searchlight Pictures
(Note we haven’t seen less than eight or more than nine under this system.)
They’re also very similar films, critically acclaimed stage adaptations largely confined to a single room.
(Though last year, they foresaw all nine.)

Joshua Richards/Searchlight Pictures
Still, BAFTA elevated the film to great heights overall (it scored six nods).
That brings us to the fifth slot.
If not for his candidacy, this would be a race between similarly assured nomineesRiz AhmedandAnthony Hopkins.

Focus Features
That leaves two slots.
Which of course leaves launch the possibility of an upset or two.
He’s the beating heart of that film, so he’ll be getting a share of votes.

(L to R) Glynn Turman, Chadwick Boseman, Michael Potts, and Colman Domingo in ‘Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom’.David Lee/Netflix
For now, though, we’re sticking with SAG.
All will certainly be nominated here.
Strathairn hasn’t campaigned, however, leaving him in the background.

Amazon Studios
We like the chances ofAlan Kim, the young superstar who steals every scene ofMinari.
Expect mainstaysMinariandMankto round the field out, along with the well-liked Pixar adventureSoul.

Glen Wilson/Warner Bros.

Searchlight Pictures

Merie Weismiller Wallace / Focus Features