So who will win?
We give our predictions.
They’ve also made it tough for SAG-AFTRA voters to pick.

Jean Smart on ‘Hacks,’ Lee Jung-jae on ‘Squid Game,’ Will Smith in ‘King Richard,’ Ariana DeBose in ‘West Side Story.'.HBO MAX; Noh Juhan/Netflix; Chiabella James/Warner Bros.; Niko Tavernise/20th Century Studios
IfKing RichardorCODAwere ever going to make a move, it’s now.
Additionally, none of their films are rousing popular favorites, making the picture harder to read.
Plus,Shang-Chihad legitimately excellent fight choreography.

Aunjanue Ellis, Mikayla Bartholomew, Will Smith, Saniyya Sidney, Demi Singleton, and Daniele Lawson in ‘King Richard’.Chiabella James/Warner Bros.
And then there’s the Dutton clan from the uberpopularYellowstone, which landed its first major award nomination here.
Is it enough to win?
They really killed it.

Javier Bardem and Nicole Kidman in ‘Being the Ricardos’.Glen Wilson/Amazon
Because it truly comes down to two comedies: reigning champTed Lassoand the freshman comedyHacks.
And a damn good one, taking viewers on a roller coaster of emotions.
We love ourselves some Jean Smart, but this category isn’t where her name will be called.

Niko Tavernise/20th Century Studios
Could they split the vote?
Alas, this isJason Sudeikis’ to lose.
But Jean Smart does things inHacksthat many actors watch and wish they could do just half as well.

Jeremy Swift, Brett Goldstein, Jason Sudeikis, Brendan Hunt, and Nick Mohammed on ‘Ted Lasso’.Colin Hutton/Apple TV+
She can make you laugh or empathize with her one second and fear her the next.
Superhero series are hard to beat, no question about it.
And Kate Winslet wasput through itinMare.

Kate Winslet in ‘Mare of Eastttown’.Michele K. Short/HBO

Kieran Culkin, Jeremy Strong, Sarah Snook, and Brian Cox on the season 3 finale of HBO’s ‘Succession’.Graeme Hunter/HBO

Jean Smart on ‘Hacks’.Jake Giles Netter/HBO Max